Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.167918 0.195109 0.225347 0.261477 0.303493 0.350839 0.408281
2025-03-23 0.125813 0.162164 0.206979 0.266348 0.343051 0.438974 0.568327
2025-03-30 0.100046 0.138432 0.189216 0.261437 0.361751 0.496542 0.692106
2025-04-06 0.083479 0.122365 0.176850 0.258944 0.379917 0.552303 0.817869
2025-04-13 0.072024 0.110968 0.168308 0.259141 0.400034 0.611311 0.954229
2025-04-20 0.065829 0.106060 0.167995 0.270628 0.437349 0.699121 1.144508
2025-04-27 0.060310 0.101208 0.166776 0.279989 0.471823 0.785961 1.344036
2025-05-04 0.055424 0.096574 0.165069 0.287923 0.504389 0.872959 1.554536
2025-05-11 0.050251 0.090678 0.160358 0.289846 0.526473 0.944297 1.746473
2025-05-18 0.045101 0.084096 0.153544 0.286968 0.539276 1.000294 1.917195
2025-05-25 0.039839 0.076611 0.144145 0.278024 0.539496 1.032928 2.047568
2025-06-01 0.037330 0.073958 0.143262 0.284885 0.570270 1.125958 2.306225
2025-06-08 0.034199 0.069801 0.139193 0.285359 0.589255 1.199803 2.539331
2025-06-15 0.031909 0.067048 0.137559 0.290561 0.618573 1.298129 2.837323
2025-06-22 0.028830 0.062272 0.131249 0.285199 0.624987 1.349780 3.041916
2025-06-29 0.026359 0.058469 0.126483 0.282476 0.636599 1.413601 3.281660
2025-07-06 0.024410 0.055559 0.123260 0.282691 0.654644 1.493463 3.568536
2025-07-13 0.023615 0.055132 0.125396 0.295238 0.702318 1.645590 4.045913
2025-07-20 0.022689 0.054287 0.126485 0.305463 0.745797 1.793280 4.532814
2025-07-27 0.021717 0.053212 0.126908 0.314128 0.786578 1.939505 5.036209
2025-08-03 0.020402 0.051148 0.124759 0.316230 0.811363 2.049751 5.462642
2025-08-10 0.018896 0.048429 0.120719 0.313086 0.822429 2.127028 5.812982
2025-08-17 0.017168 0.044946 0.114399 0.303316 0.815040 2.156136 6.037261